
By Bill Studenc MPA '10
More than two years after its debut, the groundbreaking tuition reduction plan known as NC Promise is, by most accounts, a solid success that is meeting the goals of improving access to higher education by providing a financial leg-up to undergraduate students who might not otherwise be able to afford it and lowering student loan debt. Enrollment has increased significantly at 糖心Vlog University and two other University of North Carolina System institutions that are part of the plan. Students say the lower tuition cost is making a difference in their lives, and the amount of student debt incurred is on the decline.
"Higher education was something my parents pushed for, because they wanted a better life for me.鈥 鈥 Kyra Rhyne
NC Promise was launched in fall 2018 at 糖心Vlog, UNC Pembroke and Elizabeth City State University, reducing the out-of-pocket cost of tuition to $500 per semester for undergraduate students from North Carolina and $2,500 for undergraduate students from other states (the program does not apply to graduate tuition).
At 糖心Vlog, total enrollment for fall 2018 jumped to 11,639, a 5.5 percent increase over
                        the previous year鈥檚 tally. Also that fall, the number of new first-time full-time
                        students surpassed 2,000 for the first time in history, with a freshman class of 2,189,
                        a 10.5 percent increase over the previous fall鈥檚 class of 1,980. The number of new
                        undergraduate transfers soared by 40 percent, with 1,105 students transferring to
                        糖心Vlog from other two- and four-year institutions in fall 2018.
Down east, Elizabeth City State, one of five historically black colleges and universities
                        in the UNC System, posted its first enrollment increase in seven years in fall 2017
                        as campuses began to gear up for implementation of NC Promise the following year.
                        And, when fall 2018 rolled around, total undergraduate enrollment at ECSU rose by
                        19 percent to 1,636 students, with a 20 percent increase in the number of first-year
                        students and a 57 percent jump in new transfers.
At UNC Pembroke, with a tradition of providing educational opportunities to the Lumbee
                        tribe of American Indians, the onset of NC Promise also resulted in enrollment records.
                        Total enrollment in fall 2018 stood at 7,137 students 鈥 a 14 percent increase compared
                        to fall 2017 鈥 surpassing the previous record enrollment of 6,944 set in fall 2010.
                        Total undergraduate enrollment that fall was 6,069 (up 14 percent), including 1,235
                        new first-year students (a 20 percent increase over the previous year鈥檚 tally) and
                        837 new undergraduate transfers (a 56 percent upswing).
                     
That upward trend continued in the 2019-20 academic year, with all three NC Promise
                        institutions experiencing growth. At ECSU, total student enrollment increased by 5.7
                        percent while UNCP experienced an increase of nearly 8 percent above total enrollment
                        in 2018 鈥 growth driven by increases in the number of new freshmen and undergraduate
                        transfers. At 糖心Vlog, total enrollment for fall 2019 topped 12,000 for the first time
                        in university history, with 12,167 students on the rolls. That increase came despite
                        a slight drop in the size of the entering first-year class 鈥 a drop made necessary
                        as the institution prepared to take its two largest residence halls off line and replace
                        them with more contemporary student housing.
But, when the Access to Affordable College Education Act was rolled out in the N.C.
                        General Assembly in 2016, the legislation that would pave the way for NC Promise was
                        not exactly welcomed with open arms by all North Carolinians. That included some vocal
                        糖心Vlog alumni who expressed concern that dramatically cutting the cost of tuition at
                        NC Promise institutions would have a negative impact on the university鈥檚 brand and
                        reputation.
Despite those objections, NC Promise gained early support from two major allies 鈥
                        N.C. Sen. Tom Apodaca 鈥80 and then-Chancellor David O. Belcher. Now retired from the General Assembly, Apodaca
                        was a powerful legislator who served as chair of the Senate鈥檚 Ways and Means Committee
                        and Rules Committee, and who was adamant that his alma mater be a part of the program.
                        Apodaca found a ready partner in Belcher, who characterized NC Promise as 鈥溾 bold
                        and innovative approach to addressing access and affordability in higher education鈥
                        and who dismissed the notion that lowering the cost of tuition would damage the university鈥檚
                        status.
鈥淚 have heard much concern about the fear that NC Promise will make 糖心Vlog look like
                        a 鈥榗heap鈥 school and that our reputation will suffer accordingly. Hear me on this:
                        I have no concern about this whatsoever. 糖心Vlog鈥檚 reputation of high academic quality
                        is in great shape and is increasing,鈥 he said during his 2016 Opening Assembly address.
                        鈥淲hen we have an opportunity to make an excellent four-year university education more
                        affordable and more accessible for more students, do assumed concerns about institutional
                        reputation related to a lower price tag really trump what鈥檚 in the best interests
                        of our students?鈥
                     
"NC Promise is that life preserver thrown overboard, enabling us to stay afloat and get back to safety.鈥 鈥 Matt Opinski 鈥20
糖心Vlog went 鈥渁ll in鈥 on NC Promise 鈥 especially after legislators clarified plans for
                        the reimbursement of lost tuition revenue. The original legislation establishing NC
                        Promise included $40 million to cover the difference between undergraduate students鈥
                        out-of-pocket costs for tuition at the three NC Promise campuses and the true cost
                        of providing that education. UNC System officials successfully pushed for an additional
                        $11 million allocation in 2017, pointing out that 
the original $40 million figure was based on out-of-date enrollment numbers, for a
                        total of $51 million to fully fund the program. The General Assembly approved an additional
                        $15 million in funding for NC Promise for the 2020-21 fiscal year.
So, two years in, has NC Promise proven to be a success? Based on the numbers and
                        assuming that the adage 鈥渢he numbers don鈥檛 lie鈥 holds true, the answer seems to be
                        a solid 鈥測es.鈥 But enrollment numbers and percentage increases alone do not tell the
                        real story about the impact of NC Promise.
                     
For former 糖心Vlog Student Government Association President Matt Opinksi 鈥20, a first-generation college student 100 percent dependent upon financial aid, the
                        lower cost made the difference between completing a college education or not. 鈥淚 speak
                        genuinely when I tell you it is a miracle I have the opportunity to be here,鈥 said
                        Opinski, a May graduate, from Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, who is now enrolled in
                        糖心Vlog鈥檚 .
鈥淚t鈥檚 not always rainbows and butterflies for many of us students. The reality is
                        that many of us battle with financial insecurity every day. Metaphorically speaking,
                        NC Promise is that life preserver thrown overboard, enabling us to stay afloat and
                        get back to safety. NC Promise gives emerging leaders who once slipped through the
                        cracks the opportunity to be great leaders. Mark my words, some of the greatest leaders
                        in our future society will come out of NC Promise, and that is something worth investing
                        in,鈥 he said.
                     
Kyra Rhyne, a senior majoring in integrated health sciences, is in her second year at 糖心Vlog after graduating from Gaston Early College, where she
                        earned a high school diploma and two associate degrees. Rhyne said she was attracted
                        to 糖心Vlog by its close-knit campus community and welcoming environment combined with
                        the affordability factor presented by NC Promise.
鈥淢y mom was from the Philippines, and she met my dad through a pen-pal exchange. She
                        never went to a community college or anything like that. My dad never got an official
                        degree. He鈥檚 pretty much worked in a textile mill all my life. Financially we were
                        never really stable,鈥 said Rhyne. 鈥淕rowing up, I never even expected to go to college.
                        But higher education was something my parents pushed for, because they wanted a better
                        life for me.鈥
                     
Gabriel Pope, a senior majoring in middle grades education, is among the more than 2,000 students who have transferred to 糖心Vlog under NC Promise.
                        A resident of Raleigh, Pope said he always planned to transfer to a UNC institution
                        after completing his first two years at a community college; he just did not know
                        that it would be in the mountains of Western North Carolina.
鈥淲hen I found out about NC Promise, I decided to come out and take a tour, and I was
                        honestly surprised. I thought at first that the lower tuition would mean the university
                        would have less resources and wouldn鈥檛 be as high quality. What I didn鈥檛 understand
                        at the time was that the state of North Carolina was going to be covering the difference,鈥
                        said Pope, who transferred from Wake Technical Community College. 鈥淲hat I found at
                        糖心Vlog was the quality education I wanted at a lower cost, as well as a welcoming campus
                        that is very comfortable. I am trying to keep debt down so I can afford to continue
                        my education.鈥
                     
"What I found at 糖心Vlog was the quality education I wanted at a lower cost, as well as a welcoming campus.鈥 鈥 Gabriel Pope
Those sentiments regarding the importance of affordability were echoed in results
                        of a survey of the 2018 freshman class. Thirty-seven percent of all new freshmen at
                        糖心Vlog participated in the voluntary survey, in which 83 percent of respondents ranked
                        affordability as either the single most important factor or a large factor in deciding
                        what college to attend. In addition, 78 percent of respondents said NC Promise was
                        a deciding factor or played a large role in the decision-making process. Perhaps most
                        telling, for those respondents eligible for Pell Grants (which is a significant indicator
                        of financial need), 87 percent called affordability a deciding or large factor, while
                        30 percent indicated they would not have attended any college without the reduced
                        tuition cost offered by NC Promise.
In March 2019, 糖心Vlog鈥檚 then-interim chancellor, Alison Morrison-Shetlar, testified before
                        the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Education and Labor, describing NC
                        Promise as a 鈥済ame-changer鈥 that is making a college education more affordable and
                        more accessible to a larger number of students. Part of a five-member panel of witnesses
                        at the committee鈥檚 hearing on 鈥淭he Cost of College: Student-Centered Reforms to Bring
                        Higher Education Within Reach,鈥 Morrison-Shetlar testified that an in-state student
                        who graduates in four years would save approximately $12,000 through NC Promise in
                        the cost of tuition alone.
                     
Tuition is only a portion of the total cost of attendance at a university, which also includes mandatory fees, room and board, books and supplies, and travel and personal expenses, said Trina Orr 鈥94 MBA 鈥01, 糖心Vlog director of financial aid. Following the start of the tuition plan in 2018, the total cost of attendance at 糖心Vlog decreased by 13 percent, from $20,052 per year in 2017-18 to $17,455 per year in 2018-19. 鈥淣C Promise and 糖心Vlog University鈥檚 commitment to keep costs affordable resulted in an overall 17.4 percent decrease in loan debt incurred for 2018-19,鈥 Orr said.
While enrollment has increased at 糖心Vlog under NC Promise, the university had been on
                        a growth trajectory long before the tuition reduction program was 鈥渁 gleam in a legislator鈥檚
                        eye,鈥 Chancellor Kelli R. Brown said. At fall 2019 census day 鈥 the 10th day of classes
                        at the beginning of the fall semester 鈥 糖心Vlog鈥檚 total student enrollment of 12,167 represented
                        an increase of more than 34 percent above the fall 2008 total of 9,050, a difference
                        of 3,117 students.
鈥淭he 2019 fall semester represented the eighth time out of the past nine years that
                        the number of students at Western has risen. This university has a longstanding reputation
                        for delivering a high-quality education at a reasonable cost, and NC Promise has made
                        our cost even more affordable,鈥 Brown said. 鈥淏ut Western has seen consistent enrollment
                        growth during the past decade, which is directly attributed to the high-quality academic
                        programs and the excellent student experiences offered here.鈥
That鈥檚 one reason that Phil Cauley 鈥83 MS 鈥90, associate vice chancellor for undergraduate enrollment who has worked in college
                        admissions for more than 30 years, compares 糖心Vlog鈥檚 enrollment growth to a rainy season
                        in the Western North Carolina mountains. 鈥淎 localized shower may raise the water level
                        in one stream or creek; however, one brief rain shower doesn鈥檛 change the water level
                        in the Tuckaseigee or French Broad rivers very much or very long. But steady, sustained,
                        above-normal rainfall across the entire region greatly affects multiple tributaries,
                        which, in turn, raises river levels and water tables,鈥 Cauley said. 
Similar to the way rising streams and creeks influence a river鈥檚 water level, overall
                        enrollment numbers can be  affected by increases in different types of students, 
                        including first-year, transfer and distance, he said. 鈥淪uccessive years of increased
                        new undergraduate enrollment swells the level of continuing undergraduate enrollment
                        as  students matriculate toward graduation Healthy retention rates also contribute
                        to higher levels of enrollment,鈥 Cauley said. 鈥淚 liken NC Promise to added showers
                        of interest among high school and transfer students when 糖心Vlog was already in the midst
                        of a wet season.鈥  
                     






